ECR stands for “Expert Consensus Ranking” which means the average ranks of the fantasy football industry and is generally similar to ADP (which differs from site to site). This will be an ongoing series of positions highlighting some major differences between ECR and my own ranks. We continue the series with a look at the tight ends.
Players who should go higher/later: quarterback
I like tight ends more than consensus
Dalton Schultz, Dallas Cowboys (ECR=TE6 vs. DDD=TE4)
Schultz can’t match the athleticism of other elite tightends in the league, but his advantageous position makes him one of Fantasy’s most valuable players at his position. Schultz finished last season as the No. 3 fantasy tight end and will now see a large increase in targets With Amari Cooper and Cedric Wilson Path, Michael Gallup probably not ready to start the season after knee surgery and with Jacob Washington and Blake Jarwin both seriously injured. Schultz ran routes with a higher percentage than Mark Andrews after Jarwin was paused from week 9 last year.
The Cowboys led the NFL last season, and Schultz suddenly looks the part Dak Prescott‘s second reading on most plays. With a very favorable looking schedule, Schultz is primed for a huge fantasy season. I introduce him Darren Waller and George Kittelwho both go earlier in the round.
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Albert Okwuegbunam, Denver Broncos (ECR=TE16 vs. DDD=TE11)
Albert O is a 24-year-old with a truly elite training and underlying statistics Metrics that will now catch passes Russell Wilson (The QB is reportedly loving his new tight end). Okwuegbunam quietly earned it the fourth highest destination rate per route among TEs in the last two seasons than he has been one of only six to average more than 2.0 yards per route. With Noah Fant traded to Seattle and replacing Wilson for a terrible QB situation, Albert O will see a lot more targets with a lot higher quality.
There were some rumors about Rookie Greg Dulcichbut he is nowhere near the athlete and notices UCLA helped produce some big numbers from otherwise so-so tight-end prospects. In addition, the season-ending loss of Tim Patrick opens up even more opportunities for Okwuegbunam, who will be a big part of Denver’s offense this season.
Austin Hooper, Tennessee Titans (ECR = TE24 vs. DDD = TE15)
Hooper is two seasons away from 75 catches for 787 yards and six touchdowns in just 13 games with the Falcons. His last two years out can easily be excused while playing in Cleveland, and now he’s joining an offense in Tennessee that has done so the most abandoned goals and air yards in the entire NFL. Meanwhile since Ryan Tannehill started in 2019, 24% of his goals came close, including 25 of his 76 TD passes.
With Derrick Henry As he enters an uncertain period in his career and the Titans are projected to be around 500, Hooper is setting himself up for a really nice season.
I like tight ends less than consensus
Mike Gesicki, Miami Dolphins (ECR = TE13 vs. DDD = TE19)
Gesicki competes with two wide receivers in the newcomer Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle who expect to be among the top players in the league in terms of target quota. If that’s not worrying enough on an offense, that leaves questions surrounding the quarterback (Tua Tagovailoa’s durability, if nothing else), sicknesses changing role under Miami’s new coaching staff could be even more worrying. Mike McDaniel didn’t like tight ends in San Francisco like Gesicki did last year, and his role as a blocker is to be expanded. Whatever the reason, Gesicki’s goals are about to go way down, but he’s oddly still drafted as a top 15 fantasy tight end.
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Hunter Henry, New England Patriots (ECR = TE14 vs. DDD = TE18)
Henry went JustinHerbert, saw 18 fewer goals despite playing three more games, but he somehow finished as a top-10 fantasy tight end thanks to nine touchdowns last season. Put another way, Henry somehow caught 41% of it MacJones‘ Touchdown Passes Despite a 14.5% Goal Percentage. Added New England De Vante Parker in the off-season and JohnSmith Things are reportedly looking a lot better in New England as a sophomore. It’s all a recipe for a disappointing season from Henry being drafted as a top 15 fantasy tight end.
Noah Fant, Seattle Seahawks (ECR = TE17 vs. DDD = TE25)
With Geno Smith the clear favorite to take over to the Russell Wilson In Seattle, Fant will have a hard time putting up big stats while still fighting for goals DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett. Besides, he’s playing for one now extremely slow offense for the Seahawks, which essentially played two games fewer than the NFL average last season. draft Mo Alie-Cox even later.
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